NEW DEAL IN THE DESERT: WHAT WILL THE LIBYA SOLUTION BE?

According to a blogger, Democratic  Underground,   Two diplomatic sources at the United Nations independently confirmed that Washington, via Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, gave the go-ahead for Saudi Arabia to invade Bahrain and crush the pro-democracy movement in their neighbor in exchange for a “yes” vote by the Arab League for a no-fly zone over Libya – the main rationale that led to United Nations Security Council resolution 1973”.. http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=125×310969

 

  I don’t know the blogger but this makes absolutely perfect sense to me..it makes all the pieces fit.  It explains  why the U.S. and NATO have not supported the Bahrain rebels.  Hard not to assume that the U.S. agreed to this at the urging of “oil interests” at home. It explains why nothing our President or Secretary of State say to explain why we are in Libya and not in Bahrain rings true.  I feel it in my bones. And for me, this completes the puzzle..this makes sense.

 

 It also  clarifies  or seems to provide a framework for understanding what is going on now.  Why has the U.S. not  acknowledged the Libya Transition Council as France, Italy and Qatar have done?  Is there an even  newer deal afoot with the Saudi’s which will allow them to handle the world’s involvement in Libya?.   We know they have moved forward into the center of issues in Libya offering to “broker a resolution”

 

 

I am not a conspiracy theorist.  Every essay in this blog has arisen from something deep inside me, from my own internal gyroscope that seeks truth and points to truth.  The blog has been a way of capturing and organizing my search for the truth using the amazing Alexandria library of the web.  In the same way that  Democratic Undergorund’s blog  registered as truth on my meter..an article this past Tuesday in the Houston Chronicle  registered as pointing to clarity on U.S. oil interests in Libya and the role that has played in U.S. and Nato intervention in Libya’s civil war.  Also to how these interests orchestrate government actions invisibly. ,  According to the Houston Chronicle, the Port of Houston Authority cancelled a “secret agreement” that had been made without approval of the Board to assist Libya with modernization of its ports. http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/business/7508598.html. Under the  “handshake agreement”  the Port ,{was} as a subcontractor to U.S. businesses.” According to the chronicle article The Libyan agreement was set up in February 2010..  Although not named in the Houston Chronicle  article, we do know which companies have the most assets in Libya.  And we do know those companies reached out in 2009 to the U.S. Secretary of State  and other key E.U. Embassies in a memo expressing concern over increasing Libyan control of its own oil.

 

This suggests to me that the U.S. oil interests who were so concerned about Libya’s increasing intervention in oil field development in 2009, had, by February of 2010 reached some sort of accord with Qadhafi on how to move the greater volumes of oil possible with new discoveries out to world markets..The U.K. itself  and BP, with offices in Texas, had a huge stake in Libya under Tony Blair’s infamous 2007 “Deal in the Desert“ .Blair also made another “Deal in the Desert” with Qadhafi during his “Blair-Well”” African tour pledging British Military support and also giving Libya access to the same information on NATO operations that NATO members have.(http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Blair+agreed+train+Gaddafi+special+forces+deal+desert/4361429/story.html).  Makes sense with such a huge direct  British national interest in Libyan oil assets, there would need to be adequate security for those assets.

 

 

I would not be surprised if the “final solution” in Libya is yet another deal with consummate deal maker Qadhaffi to not interfere with U.S. and EU interests with unreasonable demands on companies operating there, maybe even a deal on profit sharing or a per gallon of production fee.  It would of course include,   some sort of minimal pledge to the world about humanitarian treatment of the rebels, and  most likely a pledge for U.S. and British interests to help develop Libyan ports to a level where they can handle the production potential of the newly discovered resources near Tripoli.  That deal might just work  for the interests that are really at the heart of NATO involvement there now. Port Development would give Libyans the jobs that Qadhafi was seeking for Libyan in foregin drilling operations a deal on profit equity might satisfy Qadhafi’s demands ..after all he doesn’t possess and can’t development the capacity for Libya’s own national exploration and recovery of oil assets..

 

Isn’t that the translation for todays headlines at MSN and others referring to a “stalemate” in Libya..doesn’t “stalemate” mean non Libyan oi linterests will get what that they can from Qhadhafi by way of
agreement..anything to get back to normal explorations and normal shipments….

 

 

 * so many spellings..this one is used often in arabic and triploi newspapers and websites.

 

P.S. I will be adding a brief cite to this..today..I belkuieve thatrecent EU positions oil shipments by the rebels point towards the kind of “libyan solution” I see as inevitable.  At the very least it isclearly not unqualified support for the rebels.

 

 

 

Lindsay Newland Bowker Cove Meadow April 8, 2011

 

 

 

 

 UPDATE ON THE TRUCE 04/11/11  As expected the http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2011-04-11-libya-cease-fire_N.htmLibyan solution advanced by AU ( African Union) to the Libyan Transition Council was rejected as it did not call for the removal of Qadhafi.  The squeeze is on for the Libyan Council as  many givernments are calling the Council’s attempts to fund its cause through oil shipments “piracy” and NATO seems to be reconsidering the no fly zone. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I believe the AU proposal is nearly identical to one advanced jointly by the union of arab states and the African union which was rejecyed by the uNited Nations.

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About lindsaynewlandbowker

Bowker Associates, Science & Research In The Public Interest, is an independent non profit providing self initiated pro bono analysis on key issues with a potential for massive adverse environmental impact . Bowker Associates has been an internationally recognized and cited voice in analysis of the Samarco failure, its consequence, and the possibilties for recovery. In 2015 Bowker Associates collaborated with globally respected geophysicist David M. Chambers to recompile global authoritative accounts of significant TSF failures in recorded history and to analyze these data in the context of gloal mining economics 1910-2010 ( Risk, Economics and Public Liability of TSF Failures, Bowker/Chambers July 2015) In 2014 Bowker Associates commissioned globally respected geophysicist and hydrogeologist Dr. David Chambers to undertake two technical works: (1) development of technical go no go criteria for vetting mine applications tp://lindsaynewlandbowker.wordpress.com/2014/01/05/a-new-statutory-regulatory-framework-for-responble-sulfide-mining-should-this-mine-be-built/ and (2) a case study of Maine's Bald Mountain, an un mined low grade high risk VMS deposit demonstrating the efficacy and accuracy of two risk assessment tools in vetting mine proposals https://lindsaynewlandbowker.wordpress.com/2014/02/28/mountain-x-would-you-issue-a-permit-to-this-mine/ In Maine, Bowker Associates has deeply engaged and been a public voice in the Searsport DCP LPG Tank, The Cianbro proposal for a Private East West Toll Road, JD Irvings rolling pipeline of Bakken crude to its plant in St. John and review of Phase II plans at The Callahan Superfund site in Brooksville, Maine, and Maine's revisitation of mining in statute and regulation... Our only “client”: is always “the pubic interest”. Our model is to focus on only one or two issues at a time so that we have a substantive command of the relevant field as our foundation for ongoing engagement. Our core work is in envirommental risk management, science and technology as well as bringing any available “best practices” models to the fore. The legal and regulatory history/best models are also a major thrust of our work in building and evaluating public policy. Director/Principal Lindsay Newland Bowker, CPCU, ARM is a recognized expert in Environmental Risk Management., Heavy Construction Risk Management and Marine and Transit Risks and has more than 3 decades of engagement in buiding public policy. Appointed by Governor Mario Cuomo to New York State Banking Board (served 1986-1996); President New York Chapter Chartered Property and Casualty Insurers; Environmental Committee, Risk and Insurance Management Society; Director, Convenor/Co-Chair Bermuda Market Briefing "From Captive to Cats" Hamilton Bermuda. Published Articles of Significance The Risk Economics and Public Liability of Tailings Facility Failures, co-authored with David M. Chambers, July 2015 Beyond. Polarization: Superfund Reform in Perspective, Risk & Insurance Managing Risk For Loss Prevention & Cost Control (Jan. 24, 1997). Lead Hazards and Abatement Technologies in Construction: A Risk Management Approach CPCU Journal 1997 Employee Leasing: Liability in Limbo Risk Management June 1 1997 Environmental Audit Privilege and the Public interest Risk & Insurance Managing Risk For Loss Prevention & Cost Control, April 1997 Asbestos:Holes In Abatement Policies Need To Be Plugged, Lloyd’s Environmental Risk International, May 1993 Editor Published Letters Evironmental Risk Management Beware of Facile Policies Like Fetal Protection Business Insurance 1995(?) High Court Review May Increase Sale of Bank Annuities Business Insurances August 8, 1995 Professional Profiles Protecting the Big Apple’s Core Managing Risk For Loss Prevention & Control December 1996 Major Career Highlights First rigorous analysis showing Relationship Between declining ore grades and TSF Failures of increasing consequence ( July 2015) FIrst Documentation that Gentrification Has Same Impacts as Unassisted Displacement from Urban Renewal Sites Direted Court Ordered EIS of FHA Mortgage Scandal Created Nation's First Homeownership Program for Low Income People (SHIP) Created Earliest Geographic Information Systems Using Defense Technology Developed By IBM Designed and Conducted Parallel Census Count to Show Systematic undercount in minority neighborhoods Documented Bias in ISO Territory Rating Plans for Private Passenger Auto Insurance Using ISO's own Rating Techniques Demonstrated Inherent Bias in Mortgage Policies of Banks With Inner City Branches Demonstrated that NY Telephones Plan for Area Code Split To accommodate anticipated cell phone demand was not efficient and would exhaust in 5 years ( which it did) Undertook First Systematic Evaluation of Child Protective Services Caseload Using Multi Variate Analyic Techniques Developed Child Protective Caseload Management and Tracking System (CANTS) and directed implementation in 4 client states including Illinois, Florida and New York Created and Ran Office of Risk Management for NYC DEP the Nations largest Water & Sewer Authority . Designed, Created and Administered Nation's First Owner Controlled Insurance Program (OCIP)for High Risk Tunneling Education Masters NYU Graduate School of Public Administration BSC New School For Social Research Maine Public Schools Deering High School
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